Welcome. Let's Talk Probabilities.

Welcome to my blog. I hope all of you can find some sort of insight. Please comment, pose questions, and even criticize. My wish is to learn from you just as much as you learn from me.

I believe that all traders should seek to have an accurate idea of their probabilities in every trade. Finding these probabilities requires a great deal of quantitative research and testing. It requires finding truths about trading and the market. It requires being skeptical and test everything you read on the internet. It requires challenging our own thinking and beliefs. Once we understand our odds, we can turn this game from a slot machine into a poker table.

My goal is to flood this blog with content to help other retail traders understand their probabilities and kickstart their journey to finding an edge. I promise that as I progress through college and learn more technical skills, the quality of that content will improve drastically. My posts will fall into two categories: Statistics and Discussion. Some posts will strictly be sharing raw data, while some will be a discussion of insights and perspective; some will be both.

Let's learn together, let's work together. After all, it's us against the machines!